Posts Tagged ‘global demand shift’
Another article: Future of Global Trade to 2030 by Outsights
The global economy is at a juncture of great uncertainty and change. To explore a broader understanding of what the future of the global economy may hold, Outsights gathered experts from different disciplines – Government, the City, Business and NGOs – to consider what is shaping the future to 2030. This report builds on the output of the workshop with further research and scenario development by Outsights.
The aim was to build scenarios – alternative and plausible stories of how the future might unfold – for the global economy to 2030. Rather than creating a conventional economic forecast – the inherent weaknesses of which are the unforeseen disruptions in the model – the group focused on the major uncertainties of today’s world, especially the non-economic issues, to challenge current assumptions.
URL Source: http://www.outsights.co.uk/library/3/TheFutureoftheGlobalEconomyto2030
Invent, Invent, Invent
“We might be able to stimulate our way back to stability, but we can only invent our way back to prosperity. We need everyone at every level to get smarter.”
“Sometimes, I worry, though, that what oil money is to Russia, our ability to print money is to America. Look at the billions we just printed to bail out two dinosaurs: General Motors and Chrysler.”
Tom Friedman’s op-ed in the NYTimes. Innovation clusters are hard to shift, but so far no one has been able to replicate the Si Valley code despite East Asian governments pouring lots of money into infra. What is trade like in a world of L-shape growth for SGP?
Two Articles on China Stirring its Economy
Two articles on China – The first centres around China’s apparent protectionism, while the second talks about China’s strategy of regional integration as the new engine of growth.
Just a quick note that the term “protectionist” is taken by different people to mean very different things – i.e. when denying accusations of ‘protectionism’, the Chinese mean to say that they are not creating any unfair advantage for its domestic exporters, merely developing its domestic industries. That’s quite different from popular interpretations that may say that the Chinese consciously implement or endorse protectionist measures.
And when people accuse the Chinese of being protectionist, most of the time, they are really saying that the Chinese is not doing anything to correct the imbalances in the global economy. Every economy is protectionist to some extent, even the US. So, you would expect parties who are really concerned about the correction of these imbalances like the US to be most vocal about China being protectionist.
Let’s start posting and sharing
Hi everyone, it was nice meeting up today and let’s just kickstart it with posting and sharing articles, videos etc related to future of trade. I love Zhi Jia saying “It must make us uncomfortable!” and that’s the spirit of enquiry that’s very beneficial in pushing the boundaries beyond the known unknowns to the unknown unknowns for this topic. Gambatte! 
There is a tag cloud that appears on the right. I’m tentatively just adding some starting tags, you can choose to use them to tag your post or just add your own if you find tags that are missing, or better. You can add as many tags for each post as you like.
When you are posting and you want to add a link to another article, just highlight and click on the ‘link’ icon. If you like to upload pictures/videos etc, just click on the icons next to the upload/insert above the ruler. These last two will make more sense when you start posting.
Happy posting!
