Future of Trade

What is the future of global trade, and what does it mean for Singapore?

BRIC-à-Brac

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Institutional arrangements are responsible for the policy agenda that gets shoved through the policy window, and so too will they play a critical role in shaping the future geography of trade. The threads of vested interests woven into the fabric of international trade will determine both its strength/ fragility and design (perhaps wharped by protectionist or mercantilist tendencies or influenced/ forced into harmony by the weaver (and who would that be?)). BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) is the latest institutional formation to join the family of the G(roup)s and how their influence will play out in the international arena depends much on their ability to compensate for one another’s deficiencies and compromise on their private agendas.

Goldman Sachs’ take on BRIC (can’t possibly leave out Jim O’Neill in this blog): http://www2.goldmansachs.com/ideas/brics/index.html

On BRIC’s incompatibility: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=5011 , http://www.reuters.com/article/businessNews/idUSLE11928120090614?feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews&pageNumber=1&virtualBrandChannel=0

On BRIC’s multipolar world order: http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article6514737.ece

On BRIC’s unease with the dollar: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8101154.stm

On India’s capitalists: http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/documentaries/2008/09/080905_desert_capitalists_one.shtml

On China in Africa: http://www2.lse.ac.uk/LSEMagazine/pdf/Summer%202009/RaisingTheRedLantern.pdf

Written by Ivyn

July 7, 2009 at 11:25 pm

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